Prepared Brief - Flights Grounded, Troops Deployed, and Storms Building
November 10, 2025
Analyst Insight
Domestic security remained tense after several violent incidents in major U.S. cities and protests tied to immigration operations.
Infrastructure stresses continue with power outages and widespread flight cancellations due to the ongoing federal shutdown.
A significant winter storm is bearing down on the Great Lakes region, while border security tensions are escalating both domestically and in Mexico.
The battle over SNAP payments could spark civil unrest.
Overall posture: strained as multiple crises converge, requiring situational awareness and readiness for rapid response.
Domestic Security and Civil Unrest
San Francisco, CA: Police reported an isolated shooting near Ocean Beach in the Richmond District. Five people were injured, including four juveniles with non‑life‑threatening wounds and an adult male with life‑threatening injuries, and authorities said there was no broader threat. No arrests had been made at the time of reporting.
Chicago, IL: A 27‑year‑old man was shot during a robbery in the city’s Northwest Side; he suffered leg and abdominal wounds and was hospitalized while the suspect remained at large. In a separate incident, a jewelry store robbery in Chicago’s Little Village neighborhood turned deadly when a gunman fatally shot a 25‑year‑old employee and a 63‑year‑old customer before fleeing in a white SUV.
Readiness impact: Remain alert for opportunistic violence and criminal activity in urban areas. Coordinate with local law enforcement for situational updates and prepare for potential protests or retaliatory actions.
Infrastructure and Grid Alerts
Los Angeles, CA: More than 30,000 Los Angeles Department of Water and Power customers lost electricity around midday Sunday, affecting Koreatown, Arlington Heights, Leimert Park, and Palms. Power was fully restored by late afternoon, and the cause remains under investigation.
Nationwide aviation: Airlines cancelled more than 1,500 flights on Saturday and over 2,900 flights on Sunday in compliance with a Federal Aviation Administration order to reduce air traffic during the government shutdown. By early Monday, airlines had already cancelled nearly 1,600 flights for Monday and almost 1,000 for Tuesday, and delays at major airports, including Newark, Orlando, Chicago, and Detroit, exceeded an hour. Air traffic controllers have missed two pay periods, and union leaders warned of increasing staff shortages.
Readiness impact: Prepare for disrupted travel and logistics. Contingency planning is required for personnel movements and supply shipments reliant on commercial aviation.
Extreme Weather and Natural Hazards
Great Lakes region: The first major winter storm of the season is impacting the Chicago area. A winter storm warning took effect Sunday evening, with lake‑effect snow rates expected to exceed three inches per hour and total accumulations of up to 12 inches. Wind gusts over 30 mph are expected, and city crews deployed more than 200 snow‑removal trucks to clear roads. Officials warn of dangerous to impossible travel conditions.
Readiness impact: Expect transportation delays, road closures, and potential utility disruptions. Ensure vehicles are winterized, stockpile essential supplies, and limit non‑essential travel.
Border and Immigration
Chicago immigration operations: During federal immigration enforcement in the Little Village neighborhood, a suspect in a black Jeep fired shots at U.S. Border Patrol agents. No injuries were reported, but agitators also threw a paint can and bricks at Border Patrol vehicles. The incident occurred amid protests against Operation Midway Blitz, which has led to more than 3,000 arrests since September. The suspect remained at large.
Readiness impact: Anticipate heightened community tensions and potential clashes during enforcement operations. Monitor social media for planned demonstrations and secure staging areas for federal personnel.
Church, Mission, and Civilian Safety
No significant attacks on churches, missionaries, or humanitarian workers were reported in the past 24 hours. Continue to monitor international developments for potential risks to faith‑based organizations and U.S. civilians abroad.
International Flashpoints
Mexico – Michoacan: Following the November 1 assassination of Uruapan mayor Carlos Manzo, Mexico’s President Claudia Sheinbaum announced a security plan to reinforce the state of Michoacan. The plan includes sending nearly 2,000 additional military and National Guard forces to reinforce an existing force of 10,300 troops. The mission focuses on dismantling drug labs, combating extortion, and dismantling training camps. The government will invest 57 billion pesos (≈ $3.1 billion) in social programs, scholarships, and economic development. Manzo was the seventh mayor killed in Michoacan since 2022; his murder sparked protests and pressure on federal authorities.
Readiness impact: Violence in Michoacan can destabilize the region, disrupt agricultural exports (avocado and citrus), and increase pressure on the U.S.–Mexico border. Monitor cartel activity and potential spillover violence.
Supply Chain and Liberty Watch
Travel disruptions: Federal mandates requiring airlines to reduce flight schedules have removed hundreds of flights per day and delayed many more. This reduction is expected to persist until Congress resolves the shutdown.
Readiness impact: Supply chains dependent on air cargo may face delays; adjust logistics plans accordingly.
Developing Reports
Washington, DC - Investigative media and a member of Congress allege that a former U.S. Capitol Police officer is a high-probability gait and forensic match to the Jan. 6 pipe bomber, and that federal agencies may have suppressed leads. If confirmed, indicates deep institutional corruption, compromised trust in federal law enforcement, and potential re-assessment of Jan. 6 threat narratives.
Readiness impact: Monitor for public reaction, potential protests, and further disclosures that could erode trust in federal security institutions.
Signals to Monitor
Increases in calls for protests or violence on social media in response to immigration operations or SNAP payment clawbacks.
Power‑grid strain or additional outages in major metropolitan areas facing winter storms.
Traffic accident reports and emergency calls in the Great Lakes region as heavy snow intensifies.
Deployment of additional National Guard or military units to Michoacan and any subsequent cartel retaliations.
Congressional negotiations on funding that could end the government shutdown and restore full FAA staffing and SNAP funding.
Red Flags
If the Chicago winter storm produces higher‑than‑expected snowfall or wind, then expect prolonged road closures, supply delays, and strain on first responders.
If states are forced to withdraw SNAP benefits from EBT cards, then grocery stores and food banks may see surges of angry recipients and possible civil disturbances.
If anti‑immigration‑raid protests in Chicago expand or become violent, then federal facilities and law enforcement could be targeted, requiring additional security.
If Mexico’s security operation in Michoacan fails to suppress cartel violence, then cross‑border smuggling and refugee flows may increase, stressing U.S. border resources.
Preparedness Action Items
Top off fuel and supplies for vehicles and generators before the snowstorm worsens; stock extra salt and sand for de‑icing.
Review travel plans; avoid non‑essential flights and develop alternate transport routes in case of extended flight cancellations.
Update security protocols for federal and state personnel engaged in immigration enforcement; conduct briefings on crowd control and personal safety.
Monitor weather advisories and adjust patrol or mission schedules to prevent exposure to hazardous conditions.
Engage supply‑chain partners to identify critical shipments that may be delayed by air‑traffic reductions or winter weather; develop ground transportation alternatives.